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Showing posts from September, 2014

A brief look at team totals

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While I generally go to great lengths to emphasise the need to avoid placing too much weight on small samples and recent results, I also recognise that absolute certainty is not something we have time to wait for so with five weeks in the books it's time to start delving into the numbers, starting here with a first look at some of the team trends. We're focusing on teams first as their data tends to stabilise much quicker than for an individual player 1 and thus becomes more reliable at an early stage in the season. To underline this point, let's look at some like-for-like data from last season. We've plotted each team's SiB +/- 2 through the first five gameweeks of last season against their eventual season total to see how well these two metrics correlate. The stronger this correlation, the higher our confidence that early season results tell us a lot about the way the rest of the season might play out: Learn About Tableau It isn't perfect, of course,