As the season ticks on, we're starting to get a bit of data to work with, albeit sometimes in small samples. This season I am not working with a relatively complex player model but am really interested in trying to "play the fixtures" as much as I can. A couple of sources of frustration, therefore, have been as below: 1. Sites which provide the difficulty of fixtures often seem a bit simplistic. For example, the Premier League site shows Wolves as an average "3-rated" opponent, both at home and away yet the reality is more complicated. While at home they have been very solid defensively, with an Expected Goals Conceded (xGC) of just 4.71 in five games, which ranks third best, yet on their travels they have surrendered 7.94 xGC, which is the third worst . Even more confusing is that most sites ( though not all ) don't distinguish between attacking and defensive fixtures, so facing Leeds at home is presented as an easy "2-rated" fixture when in reali
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Just wondered your thoughts on Craig Gardner from week 14. Have a feeling he'll play in the hole from now on and need to swap him for Pienaar to before Giroud in week 15
cheers, keep up the great work!
This season it seems like you need three of those forwards to do well and so much is dependant on getting the pick right.
For example, I had Ba, RVP and Tevez and swapped Ba for Berbz then Ba scored. The guy behind me in 2 on my ml has Tevez, Berbz and Suarez and I'm worried that he'll catch me if I don't cover Suarez, but I can't really drop Tevez after his haul and RVP seems like a lock to score a bunch of points for the rest of the season (although at a price).
What would you do? The piece could outline what their projected points are from here until Jan and then until the end of the season and value.
Also, Puncheon or Kaca for a 5th mid (I have guthrie).
Additionally. Sunderlands next 5 or 6 games look good defensively but your numbers don't support this. Any reason for these 2 abnormalities?